Opinion Trade: how it works, fees, and resolution
A prediction exchange for creating, trading, and resolving real-world event markets.
Official provider profile
Market model
CLOB
Collateral
Settlement asset such as USDT, according to the provider’s fee documentation.
Access
Web3 wallet or social-account connection described in provider docs
Topics
Opinion AI, CLOB
The beginner version
What does a prediction-market position mean?
A market asks a defined question about a future event. A binary market may offer YES and NO shares; a multi-outcome market can offer several mutually exclusive answers. Traders buy and sell these shares before the market closes. A price such as $0.63 can be read as an approximate 63% market-implied probability, but it is not a promise that the event will happen.
When the event is ready for determination, the provider follows the market’s published source and rules. If one outcome wins, its share may redeem for the stated payout—often $1—while losing shares may become worthless. The exact rules, source, close time, exceptions, fees, and dispute process matter more than a short title.
Read the lifecycle
1. Define
Question, outcomes, close time, source, and edge cases are published.
2. Trade
Orders meet on a book or through a market-making pool; price moves as information and demand change.
3. Resolve
The provider or its oracle follows the stated rules and determines the result.
4. Redeem
Winning outcome shares receive the documented payout; losing shares do not.
Source-backed profile
Fees, settlement, and access
Fees: Opinion documents taker-only fees that range from 0% to 1% and rise as probability approaches 50%, with a $5 minimum order and $0.25 minimum fee; discounts and gas treatment are subject to provider terms. Source ↗
Resolution: Opinion’s resolution page states that the method is specified on each market page and that most markets are currently resolved through Opinion AI. Rules source ↗
Availability: Market, account, network, and jurisdiction dependent.
Verification and eligibility: Each market page specifies its resolution method; most reviewed documentation says Opinion AI is the primary mechanism.
Risks to understand
Fee curves and resolution methods are product-specific. Read the market page, source criteria, order type, collateral, and any dispute process before taking a position.
Potential strengths
- Provider documents its fee curve in detail
- Supports CLOB-style market trading
- Offers wallet and social-account onboarding paths
Trade-offs
- Resolution may rely on Opinion AI
- Minimum order and fee rules matter for small positions
- Provider terms and market availability can change
FAQ
Questions beginners ask
How do Opinion Trade markets work?＋
Opinion Trade presents a question about a future event and lets users trade one or more possible outcomes. The displayed price can be read as a market-implied probability, not a guaranteed forecast; the market rules define the final result.
How are Opinion Trade outcomes decided?＋
Opinion’s resolution page states that the method is specified on each market page and that most markets are currently resolved through Opinion AI.
What fees does Opinion Trade charge?＋
Opinion documents taker-only fees that range from 0% to 1% and rise as probability approaches 50%, with a $5 minimum order and $0.25 minimum fee; discounts and gas treatment are subject to provider terms.
What should beginners check before using Opinion Trade?＋
Fee curves and resolution methods are product-specific. Read the market page, source criteria, order type, collateral, and any dispute process before taking a position. This directory is educational comparison content, not a personal recommendation or betting advice.